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2024-12-14 12:05:49

Fitch: The neutral outlook of global protein in 2025 reflects that global consumption will remain stable as consumer demand shifts to lower-priced chicken and pork.French President Mark Long will announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th. On the evening of 12th local time, French President Macron returned to Paris after his visit to Poland, and said that he would announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th local time. Macron accepted the resignation of former Prime Minister Michel Banier on December 5th, and the government of Banier became the government with the shortest term in the Fifth Republic of France.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)


The dollar index DXY broke through 107 and rose by 0.33% in the day.Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.


BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The State Council, USA: When meeting with Turkish President Erdogan, Secretary of State Blinken stressed the need to ensure that the coalition against Islamic State can continue to carry out its key mission.Guterres: Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements must be supported. UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through a spokesman, expressing deep concern about the recent widespread violation of Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The statement specifically mentioned hundreds of air strikes by Israel against Syria, and said that there is an urgent need to alleviate violence in all aspects of Syria. Guterres said that the 1974 Disengagement of Forces Agreement is still valid, and he condemned all actions inconsistent with the Agreement and called on the parties to the Agreement to fulfill their obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the separation zone. The statement stressed that while maintaining public order, it is necessary to support Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements.

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